Interesting article that we have to take seriously. Stock market is booming again today. Fawk, what a party.But as someone who has touched the hot stove,I’m always looking at risk. Last time I took a rat fucking I was way too heavy in financial stocks. Why? Because I was making money with them. Until the hammer came down. Not doing that again. That stung.
Return of QE, near zero rates. Sounds impossible right now but things change fast. Isn’t that what got us into the “sticky” inflation territory.
The important question: How do we make more money ? Start shorting the high flying stocks?
“The first interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve signals a U.S. recession is imminent and a dramatic drop in financial markets could once again force the U.S. central bank to come to the rescue by buying bonds, said tail-risk hedge fund Universa.”
These types of recessions calls having been coming out in these publications for at least 3 years. Don't see how interest rate makes a recession imminent. It's just trying to boost the weakening labor market as part of the Fed's dual mandate.
The guy's fund is structured to make money only in periods of collapse or major instability.
But he did write an interesting book.
https://www.amazon.com/Dao-Capital-Austrian-Investing-Distorted/dp/111834703X
Still, you always have to ask - 'how much did I pay for this piece of information?' That's probably what it is worth.