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A better way of assessing schedule strength each week?

This quack says yes. I'm sure you Trojans will say no....lol. No surprise there, though.

Our offenses are #1 and #2 in the nation. But face it, it's way too early to tell much about either of our teams' defense. So that's why we have a neutral party like Kelley Ford to help us out here with the analytics to date.

9 comments

9 Comments

samcasino

Sep 13, 2023

Why argue over early season results? Very favorable schedule ahead for Texas with Okie and K St at home. Only 3 good teams in that conference. TX schedule strength by season's end will be middling. The Pac is clearly the POWER conference. The team(s) that gets through the Pac with one loss is in the playoffs.

MLK Blvd

Sep 13, 2023

every reasonable trojan fan has stated repeatedly that the early schedule is about getting players ready for the end run and can't be used to judge the true mettle of the team. Nothing has changed.

You ducks are hanging a lot on a come from behind victory on a very average TT team that will finish sub 0.500 in the Big 12. they will be hard pressed to win a conference game on the road this year.

Onikoroshi

Sep 13, 2023

Bogus List

Georgia's schedule [UT Martin, Ball St] is weaker than any schedule on that list

except for maybe Pedo St's and UCLA's

Big Blue is also missing and their schedule to date is definitely weaker than the domers' and Buckeyes'

just another subtle SEC bias promotional fluff piece

no doubt Saban approves as does Neon

SC Gator

Sep 13, 2023

Replying to

I think it's an interesting way of looking at things. The weakness of Georgia's schedule is reflected in the fact that Georgia doesn't rank within the top 30. The average team wuld have a greater than 90% chance of being 2-0 against whoever they have played.

Onikoroshi

Sep 13, 2023

Replying to

Ahhh

Interesting take, Gator.

So, top 25 FBS teams would go 90%+ against Dawg's and Big Blue's schedules?

Makes sense only if the 30 schedules published are the top 30 toughest to date,

and nowhere does it say that.

therefore, I will take it to be the puff piece that it appears to be:

a ranking of 30 select teams' schedules, not the 30 toughest

especially since the list doesn't include bama who played Texas

yet it includes all the currently ranked PAC teams

yet no GA, bama, LSU, etc

ha!

bad data in

bad data out

SC Gator

Sep 13, 2023

Replying to

You have it wrong. The percentages reflect the chance that an "average top 25 team", say, 8-4 or 7-5, would have had at least as goos a record as the teams in this ranking.

So, Texas has the most impressive win to date. An 8-4 team is judged to have a14% chance of beating Alabama and whoever else Texas played, but an 88% chance of beating SJ State, Nevada, and Stanford. I dont know who assessed the strength of the average top 25 team, but it's an entertaining exercise.

Big Game Vista

Sep 13, 2023

This is further vindication for my coaching rankings. Texas is #1 and my other top 5 are up there. Not much will change after week 3.

TEE

Sep 13, 2023

Great win for Texas. But maybe Ala isn't all that. I doubt they go undefeated. So early like you say.

I wouldn't be surprised if every PAC team has two losses and is left out of playoffs again

Java

Sep 13, 2023

I wonder what percentage of teams would've been ahead of Stanford 49 to nothing in the first half?