Ndtflix, Prime and Apple TV have decided they are actual real businesses and cannot take sustained losses on crappy product. Thats why they are cancelling shows and deciding not to make everything that comes to them anymore. The business has truly changed in the last 6 months.
Certainly there will be a large audience that is willing to embrace any streaming platform; that audience already exists. But there are a number of sports fans who will need to become familiar with that route, and many of them will not buy into it. And I'm not just talking about the luddites either. Until, like you suggest, the future presents the consistent ability to easily stream without technical interference, or constant buffering issues, and with a similar video/audio quality to that of broadcast (remember, we're talking about live sports), there will be quite a few people engaged in conversations like this:
Chuck: "Hey, Larry, what games are on?"
Larry: "Well, it's not a bad line-up today. MIchigan State is playing USC on ESPN. Notre Dame is playing Navy on NBC. Purdue is playing UCLA on FSN. Alabama is playing Mississippi State on CBS."
Chuck: "Those games all suck! Isn't there anything else on?!"
Larry: "Oh, fuck yeah! Oregon is playing San Diego State on Apple TV. Utah is playing SMU on Hulu. Cal is playing Oregon State on DirectTV Stream, Arizona State is playing NAU on YouTubeTV, and Stanford is playing Washington State on I-Suk-Dik-TV!!"
Chuck: "Hmmmm....what time is that Alabama game on?"
LOL! Awesome reply, Waldo!! I know you work in the production world (as do I), so you generally know what you are talking about, especially from a technical standpoint. And this makes sense--in the short term. Being ahead of the curve isn't always good, but that's likely where the p12 will find themselves in this situation.
Heck, I'm one of those hold outs who only recently got Netflix (not home enough to take advantage of it). I'm sure there will be others like me in terms of streaming services. What we are seeing is analogous to Netflix mailing out DVDs to customers. But my guess is it won't be too long before almost everyone has access to most major streaming services.
And yes, there will still be a few hold-outs who will only watch something they can still get with rabbit ears or will hop on a flight to Bend, Oregon, to eagerly visit the final remaining Blockbuster store in the world...seen below in 2022...
I dont think any of them help. I would stay at the 10 they have. Any other school they add will not pay for itself. At the end of the day, I could not care less what happens to the conference, my school has moved on.
An arrogant private school and a shithole dmv style public school. Sounds familiar.
Digital streaming in order to watch games = Death Blow!!
All about adding Larger TV Markets. More valuable TV Rights
DFW/North Texas SMSA: 7.76MM
San Diego SMSA: 3.29MM
with some slightv"bleed-over" audience in Orange County: 3.24MM
compare that with BYU:
Salt Lake City SMSA - 1.26MM
split the pie more ways, good idea. These two schools cant bring $25 million in revenue to even pay their own way.
Ouch.