Two-Team Tie
If two teams are tied for first place both teams will participate in the championship game and the winner of the head-to-head will be the #1 seed. If there is not a tie for first place, but two teams are tied for second place, the two-team tiebreaker policy will apply and the winner will be the #2 seed and visiting team.
If no game is played between the two tied teams or that game ends in a tie, the following tie-breaking procedures shall be applied.
Win percentage against the next highest placed common opponent in the standings (based on record in all games played within the Conference), proceeding through the standings.
When arriving at another group of tied teams while comparing records, use each team’s win percentage against the collective tied teams as a group (prior to that group’s own tie-breaking procedure) rather than the performance against individual tied teams.
Win percentage against all common conference opponents.
Combined win percentage in conference games of conference opponents (ie, strength of conference schedule).
Total number of wins in a 12-game season. The following conditions will apply to the calculation of the total number of wins:
Only one win against a team from the NCAA Football Championship Subdivision or lower division will be counted annually.
Any games that are exempted from counting against the annual maximum number of football contests per NCAA rules. (current Bylaw 17.10.5.2.1) shall not be included.
Highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team Rating Score metric) following the last weekend of regular-season games.
Coin toss
Final Standings
fUCLA (11-1) (8-1)
Oregon (10-2) (8-1)
USC (11-1) (8-1)
Utah (9-3) (7-2)
So, USC, fUCLA and Oregon would be in a 3-way tie atop the Pac. Here is the Pac-12's official tie-breaking rule:
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Multiple-Team Ties
In the event of a tie between more than two teams, the following procedures will be used. After one team has an advantage and is “seeded”, all remaining teams in the multiple-team tie-breaker will repeat the multiple-team tie-breaking procedure. If at any point the multiple-team tie is reduced to two teams, the two-team tie-breaking procedure will be applied.
Head-to-head (best cumulative win percentage in games among the tied teams). If not every tied team has played each other, go to step 2.
Win percentage against all common conference opponents (must be common among all teams involved in the tie)
Record against the next highest placed common opponent in the standings (based on record in all games played within the conference), proceeding through the standings.
When arriving at another group of tied teams while comparing records, use each team’s win percentage against the collective tied teams as a group (prior to that group’s own tie-breaking procedure) rather than the performance against individual tied teams.
Combined win percentage in conference games of conference opponents (ie, strength of conference schedule)
Highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team Rating Score metric) following the last weekend of regular-season games.
Coin toss
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So, based on my predicted game results, we would move to step 2, since all 3 teams are 8-1 and we didn't play Oregon.
The "common conference opponents" between USC, fUCLA and Oregon are (Stanford, Utah, Arizona, Cal & Colorado).
Based on my predicted (and actual) game results, USC would be 4-1 in those common games, fUCLA 5-0 and Oregon 5-0.
So, as we sit here tonight, we need Oregon to drop at least 1 conference game besides fUCLA (and not to Utah) or we will be on the outside looking in for the CCG.
Edit: saw this posted on another site
Java, I'm sure this does make sense in some sort of parallel universe. But, like I posted in another thread, this is way too premature. There are at least five more games to be played by each conference team. It will start to sort itself out long before that tiebreaker gibberish is needed.
And yeah. In both cases they totally lost me at the first tiebreaker
3 or more team ties.
Multiple-Team Ties
In the event of a tie between more than two teams, the following procedures will be used. After one team has an advantage and is “seeded”, all remaining teams in the multiple-team tie-breaker will repeat the multiple-team tie-breaking procedure. If at any point the multiple-team tie is reduced to two teams, the two-team tie-breaking procedure will be applied.
Head-to-head (best cumulative win percentage in games among the tied teams). If not every tied team has played each other, go to step 2.
Win percentage against all common conference opponents (must be common among all teams involved in the tie)
Record against the next highest placed common opponent in the standings (based on record in all games played within the conference), proceeding through the standings.
When arriving at another group of tied teams while comparing records, use each team’s win percentage against the collective tied teams as a group (prior to that group’s own tie-breaking procedure) rather than the performance against individual tied teams.
Combined win percentage in conference games of conference opponents (ie, strength of conference schedule)
Highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team Rating Score metric) following the last weekend of regular-season games.
Coin toss