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2024 Red Wave 1.2 "The Mandate" with gains in 48 states.

"The only states that did not shift toward Trump were Washington, where the Democrats increased their lead by 1 point from 19 points to 20 points, and Utah, where Trump's lead stayed the same at 20 points."

the only county 'clusters' that shifted blue were Atlanta Metro, Seattle Metro, and western CO

that's all they got for $2B spent

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/americas-red-shift-map-shows-how-much-each-state-moved-toward-trump/ar-AA1tCV60

5 comments

5 Comments

the909trojan

Nov 21

Is three percent of the popular vote a mandate? He kicked her arse in the electoral vote, but seems like there should be more than a three percent spread on the popular vote to declare a mandate?

Onikoroshi

Nov 21

Replying to

please describe what does qualify for a mandate in your mind, I would like to know

here is my position:

let me preface this by saying that Harris did not win any states that have photo voter ID requirements other than New Hampshire. No really. Then realize that Clinton in 1992 only had a plurality of the vote (43%), not a majority, when he won. Yet he captured a supra-majority of EC votes (370). He never had a majority of the vote in either election. Lastly, Democrats only dominate urban counties, not suburban or rural ones which are a supra-majority in the US, which is why the Democrats want to eliminate the EC and cement control of the White House.

Senators represent states and their rights and Representatives largely represent city and county governments, the people, and their respective rights. Trump won majorities (>50%) of both.

It would have been nice if Trump had a supra-majority (>65%) of Electoral College votes like Regan or Clinton, as he would if all states split their EC votes like Nebraska and Maine. In fact, if all states split their EC votes, Democrats would rarely win the White House, if ever.

I would think Trump winning the majority of the voters (>50%), a near supra-majority (>65%) of states, sweeping over 2000 of the nations 3000 counties (see map below) for another supra-majority, surely qualifies as a mandate of sorts.

Harris did well only in urban counties such as LA where she had 2mm more votes than Trump. Harris got more votes in LA county than the entire populations of Alaska, North Dakota, and South Dakota combines, states that she all lost by huge majorities.

She had 80% or more of the vote for supra-majorities in only 14 urban counties like King county.

Trump captured supra-majorities with 80% or more in over 700 of the US's 3,000+ counties while winning outright majorities in well over 2,000 counties total. He also shifted over 60 counties from Blue majorities to Red ones. Harris shifted zero.

executive summary:

Trump has a mandate from the majority (>50%) of the voters, majorities in the Electoral College, Senate, and House, to go with supra-majorities (>65%) of states and counties voting. Of course, CA is busy counting provisional ballots so they can remove Trump's popular majority mandate.