RCP is the most accurate of the services because it almalgamates the others. So if most others bias left then RCP probably does a bit too. Or vice versa.
For the first time since the lovefest on main stream media and her coronation, Princess Kneepads trails nationally. The polls vary widely and the national average is Trump +.1 %. Dead heat. That is big because it shows movement. A gain of about 1% a week the last month. It also is big because Trump tends to perform better than he polls. It’s also big because we know WA NY CA MASS and other liberal cesspools are going Harris 70%. So that means everywhere else is a red state or close.
Betting markets are heavy lean on Trump. 65% chance of winning
This is a glance at the battleground states that will decide this Trump needs 51
Arizona if you open it up each poll is solidly Trump for awhile Fairly close but solid. Georgia and NC same right but favoring him az 11 ga and nc 16 each That’s 43 He needs to find 8 somewhere Wisconsin is 10 Michigan 15 and Pennsylvania 19 Nevada at 6 only matters if he loses one of nc ga or az
So if this trend holds Wisconsin Michigan and Pennsylvania will decide this election and likely give the winner 3-11 votes to spare If he performs on Election Day better than he did in polls as is his pattern And he wins all the battlegrounds? He could be at 313 max
So he’s starting to develop a cushion Meaning. First two elections he had a very narrow path. One route to victory. Which worked in 16. Not 20. Here he has a few routes he can go. And of course we are hearing the networks take off the gloves and go full partisan